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Precious Metals: Retreating From Resistance After Bullish Move

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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  • Gold and Silver are holding up relatively well despite the generally strong bearish reversals we have recently seen in commodity markets.
  • Silver is outperforming Gold, so traders should be more confident of being long of Silver than of Gold.
  • Neither precious metal looks like an immediate buy. It will probably be wise to wait for Silver to clear $27.50 or for Gold to clear $2330 before entering any new long trades.
  • Stock markets are generally rising again, which is probably good news for further rises in Gold and Silver.

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Gold (XAU/USD): Technical Analysis

The price chart below shows that Gold is still established within a long-term bullish trend despite retreating from its record high made just a few weeks ago. Bulls still need caution as the price is not trading in blue sky and is prone to hitting resistance and swinging lower.

A few hours ago, the price made what seems to be a significant bearish reversal at the resistance level just below $2330. The price is currently sitting on the nearest support level at $2315 and looks quite likely to fall to $2308.

Silver is more bullish, but a long trade here in Gold could be a good idea if we get a bullish bounce at $2315, $2308, or even $2290. In the current technical circumstances where the price is not making any bullish breakouts, trading from bounces at support, even after a deep retracement, will likely be the best approach.

Gold (XAU/USD) Hourly Price Chart 07/05

Silver (XAG/USD): Technical Analysis

The price chart below shows that Silver is still established within a long-term bullish trend despite retreating from its multi-year high made just a few weeks ago. Bulls still need caution as the price is not trading in blue sky and is prone to hitting resistance and swinging lower.

A few hours ago, the price made what seems to be a significant bearish reversal at the resistance level just below $27.50 which is a major quarter-number. The price is currently sitting on the nearest support level at $27.18 and looks quite likely to reject it, giving a possible long trade entry now.

A long trade here in Silver could be a good idea if we get a bullish bounce at $27.18, $27.00, or even $26.84. In the current technical circumstances where the price is not making any bullish breakouts, trading from bounces at support, even after a deep retracement, will likely be the best approach.

I see Silver as a better potential buy than Gold right now, but more conservative traders might prefer to wait for a bullish breakout above $27.50 instead of buying on the dip after a bounce at a key support level.

Silver (XAG/USD) Daily Price Chart 07/05

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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