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Solana at a Crossroads: Will $130 Spark the Next Bull Run?

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

SOL Price Rallies Back Above $130

After dropping to an intra-day low of $123.67, Solana staged a sharp recovery later, pushing to a 24-hour high of $133.56.

It is currently trading at about $133.07, representing a nearly 2% gain in the past 24 hours and 12% over the last week.

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Solana Price Chart | Source: TradingView

This bounce has lifted SOL above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, which sit at $129.51 and $125.59, respectively, an encouraging signal for mid-term momentum.

More importantly, Solana’s price now sits in a historically significant range that has previously acted as both support and resistance. The current recovery above $130 may signal a trend shift, but that level remains a critical zone that could swing either way.

Momentum is Building, But Not Yet Convincing

Momentum indicators reflect a cautiously optimistic picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 60.99, which suggests bullish momentum is building.

However, it hasn’t yet entered overbought territory, meaning there could still be room for upside before a correction becomes likely.

Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is at +0.992. This places it firmly in bullish territory, signaling a continuation of the current uptrend—at least in the short term.

However, not all signals are as strong. The Average Directional Index (ADX), a technical tool used to measure the strength of a trend, currently sits at just 15.42. Typically, values under 20 suggest that a trend lacks strong conviction.

In Solana’s case, this indicates that while the price action is leaning bullish, the overall strength behind the move remains weak.

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Whales Are Watching This Level

The $130 level isn’t just psychologically significant—it’s also a major on-chain price cluster. Analysts have noted that more than 32 million SOL, roughly 5% of the token’s circulating supply, was accumulated in this range.

This establishes $130 as a high-volume node, an area where many market participants have previously shown strong interest.

If bulls manage to hold above this level and push beyond $135, the $130 zone could flip into a sturdy support level.

On the other hand, failure to maintain this level could result in renewed selling pressure, dragging prices lower.

What to Watch Out For

Should momentum continue, the first upside target for Solana is the $138 to $140 range. A confirmed daily close above this zone would mark a key breakout and may pave the way for a move toward $152, which was a notable resistance level during March’s rally.

If buyers remain in control, further gains could push SOL toward $160. That would represent a significant technical breakout and could spark a fresh wave of investor interest.

Should the bullish momentum accelerate, a long-term target could emerge around $178—just before the psychological $200 mark comes back into focus.

Despite the recent strength, Solana’s bullish structure could quickly unravel if $130 fails to hold.

The first key support lies at $125, which is reinforced by the 200-day EMA. A breakdown below this level would signal weakness and potentially spark a correction toward $120. If that level also fails to hold, the next zone of interest would be in the $112 to $115 range.

Below that, Solana could revisit $108—an area that previously attracted significant demand. Any sharp breakdown from here would likely shift market sentiment once again, in a bearish direction.

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Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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