Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:
- The overall Gold Trend: Still bullish.
- Today's Gold Support Levels: $3380 – $3359 – $3320 per ounce.
- Today's Gold Resistance Levels: $3420 – $3460 – $3500 per ounce.
Today's Gold Trading Signals:
- Sell gold from the resistance level of $3420 with a target of $3370 and a stop loss of $3450.
- Buy gold from the support level of $3330 with a target of $3400 and a stop loss of $3300.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:
Renewed positive sentiment in financial markets has triggered profit-taking in spot gold prices, pulling them back from the five-week high of $3438 per ounce. According to gold trading platforms, this profit-taking pushed the gold price index down to the $3382 per ounce support level before gold prices stabilized around $3391 per ounce at the start of today's trading session, Thursday, July 24, 2025. Markets are currently awaiting the European Central Bank's monetary policy announcement.
Contributing to gold's selling pressure is the rise in the US dollar, which occurred after the United States reached its first tariff agreement with a major trading partner. The Trump administration announced a trade agreement with Japan, subjecting Tokyo's exports to the US, including automobiles, to a 15% tariff. Japan also pledged to invest $550 million US dollars in the United States, becoming the first country to reach an agreement before Donald Trump's August 1st deadline for trade deals.
The US-Japan agreement reportedly includes only a 15% tariff on imports from Japan, primarily in exchange for a promise from the Japanese government to invest $550 billion in the United States. Japan appears set to establish a sovereign wealth fund for this purpose, with Trump having input on how it's invested.
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Nevertheless, caution persists as talks with other key partners remain deadlocked. The European Union continues to seek a trade agreement with the United States, but it is also preparing retaliatory measures, as Trump's hardline stance increases the risk of a no-deal outcome. Attention is also turning to next week's Federal Reserve meeting, where US interest rates are expected to remain steady, with markets anticipating potential cuts in October.
According to technical forecasts and the daily timeframe chart, the overall trend for the gold price index remains bullish. Gold analysts' forecasts indicate the possibility of further gains as long as the market's winning factors persist, including global trade and geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and US dollar weakness. The renewed selling pushed the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) from 63 to a current reading of 52, giving bears room to move towards the midline that separates bear and bull control. At the same time, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) lines are beginning to turn downward. The bullish outlook will not be threatened unless prices return to the vicinity of the $3335, $3310, and $3275 US dollar support levels respectively on the daily chart. Conversely, over the same timeframe, the psychological $3400 US dollar resistance will remain critical for bulls to maintain control of the trend.
Trading Tips:
Traders are currently advised to buy gold on every price dip without risk, carefully monitoring the factors affecting the market.
US Dollar Index Faces Sharp Decline
According to currency market trading, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of other major currencies, continued its decline to the 97.4 level during Wednesday's trading session. Investors were digesting the latest developments in US trade policy. Reports indicated that the United States intends to reduce tariffs on the European Union to 15% instead of the previous 30%. If implemented, this move would align with the reduced tariff rate applied to Japan following their new agreement, while Japan has pledged to invest $550 billion in the United States.
Meanwhile, these developments supported US growth, steady capital flows to Japan and a rising Euro due to trade rumors limited support for the US Dollar Index. Exacerbating this trend, US Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated that the current tariff truce with China is likely to be extended next week before its expiration on August 12th. On the monetary policy front, the latest FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting minutes revealed that many members consider tariffs to be inflationary, which has led the Federal Reserve to postpone further interest rate cuts for now.
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