Day traders have experienced a whirlwind of results via the Nasdaq 100 the past month. This is not something new for experienced speculators, but even they might be uncomfortable taking into consideration the amount of volatility in the index in recent weeks. In early trading this morning the Nasdaq 100 is near the 23,404.00 ratio. Yesterday saw a high around 23,550.00, which was below the highs seen last Friday near 23,585.00 were challenged.
Last Friday’s rhetoric from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell helped spur instant buying in the Nasdaq 100 and other equity indices. The jump higher was significant. Friday’s low before Powell announced the Fed would seriously consider a rate cut of 25 basis points in September was below 23,000.00. However, noteworthy is the fact the Nasdaq 100 did not flirt with its apex terrain around 23,980.00 seen on the 13th of August. Headwinds are still causing some concern for some speculators.
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Velocity, Vacations and August Nasdaq Speculation
The move higher before going into the weekend was solid, but what day traders should remember is that the Fed Chairman’s interest rate rhetoric was only a confirmation regarding what most financial institutions had been betting on already. The real question is how strongly will the Federal Reserve lean into a dovish policy? Will the Fed cut interest rates more aggressively as 2025 concludes. A mere cut of 25 basis points will not be looked upon favorably by many.
Yesterday’s slight selloff which eliminated the froth from Friday’s buying session should be treated carefully too. While speculators are certainly active in the stock markets, they should also remember that late August trading is often plagued by rather variable volumes because of summer holidays being finished. Meaning that results may look suspicious until after the U.S Labor Day has been celebrated next Monday. However, one solid clue is the Nasdaq 100 remaining within its elevated realms, which likely indicates investors remain bullish mid-term regarding their outlooks.
U.S Growth Numbers and Near-Term Result
The choppiness in the Nasdaq 100 may continue into Thursday of this week. The U.S will release its Gross Domestic Product results in two days and investors will want to see what clues the GDP numbers offer.
- And traders should understand the results via the growth numbers and price index statistics may be interpreted in a complex manner.
- The combination of a nervous Federal Reserve and the Nasdaq 100 within higher values, but showing caution makes for a rather difficult speculative wager.
- Pursuing trends in choppy conditions is not easy.
- While folks may want to lean into buying positions, the speed of selling power when it ignites has been dangerous for unprepared day traders.
- Looking for upside and the ability to sustain values above 23,400.00 today looks appealing, but speculative buying positions should be using take profit orders to cash out winnings when they are attained.
Nasdaq 100 Short-Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 23,410.00
Current Support: 23,375.00
High Target: 23,500.00
Low Target: 23,325.00