The USD/ZAR is near 17.70850 at the time of this writing with lightning quick changes being demonstrated on trading monitors. Speculators will need to be careful near-term.
Day traders have been treated to a flurry of fast results in the USD/ZAR the past few trading days. The currency pair is correlating to the broad markets, but the USD/ZAR price velocity might make new traders rather timid if they are trying to pursue the currency pair for the first time. On Friday lows were attained in the USD/ZAR near the 17.43900 vicinity, as of this writing – on Wednesday – the 17.70850 ratio is being traversed.
The use of leverage in Forex is one way to add to your excitement level in life, unfortunately it is also a way to the poor house when used with too much ambition. The USD/ZAR has shown an ability to move higher with speed and if stop loss orders were not being used early this week as resistance levels proved vulnerable – it is fairly likely accounts were blown out.
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Volatility in the USD/ZAR and Global Forex
A point of interest for day traders should be the acknowledgement the USD/ZAR was traversing near the 17.75000 level on Friday of last week, this before Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted the U.S central bank would have to cut its interest rates in September. The USD/ZAR promptly fell to lows not seen since the first week of November 2024. However, like the whole of global Forex the USD started to recover strength on Monday and has maintained upwards momentum into early this morning. Why?
One consideration is that financial houses had already bet on the Federal Reserve admitting they would need to cut the Federal Funds Rate in September. What they still do not know is what will happen after that, so caution has returned to Forex and for the USD/ZAR the past few days. It should be noted the USD/ZAR is within sights of values this morning that were seen before Fed Chairman Powell’s speech last Friday.
Near-Term Impetus for the USD/ZAR
The broad Forex market has seen some USD centric buying creep into currency pairs. The USD/ZAR is still within the lower elements of its one month range, this might be a clue that financial institutions are still pursuing a weaker USD outlook mid-term, but caution is prevailing for the moment.
- It is also apparent more impetus is needed for large players to really start selling the USD/ZAR again.
- Tomorrow the U.S GDP numbers will be released and this will stir the pot.
- If there are no major surprises via the growth and price index results from the Gross Domestic Product stats tomorrow, this could help spur some USD/ZAR selling.
- However, day traders should understand between now and when the U.S reports are published tomorrow choppy trading results are likely.
USD/ZAR Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 17.71700
Current Support: 17.70300
High Target: 17.76500
Low Target: 17.68400
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