- As the Labor Day weekend approached WTI Crude Oil finished this past week of trading around the 63.555 mark. Typically seen as the last big driving weekend of the summer and sometimes playing into trading sentiment within the energy sector, WTI Crude Oil delivered a rather tranquil quiet air.
- Having seen a rather solid rise in value the week before, the past handful of days in the commodity turned out to be rather calm.
- WTI Crude Oil did find some stronger buying as last week began and a price of nearly 64.950 was attained on Monday, but after the week’s high was created early selling started to be seen.
- A low for the week was touched this past Wednesday when WTI Crude Oil traded near the 62.770 ratio briefly. WTI Crude Oil did trade higher after that and hit 64.400 thereabouts on Thursday, but then the commodity began to traverse lower again.
Going into a Holiday Weekend with Selling
The clue that WTI Crude Oil went into this Labor Day weekend near the price it began last week at, and finished with what can be described as a sign of weakness may intrigue bearish traders. Looking for lower values in WTI Crude Oil within the 63.500 vicinity may feel wrong historically, but speculatively the price of commodity has shown the ability to move lower not so long ago. Traders have to remember that WTI Crude Oil will remain muted until Tuesday of this week.
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Fair market value has to be considered by day traders. Historically the price of WTI Crude Oil has a long history of trading comfortably above 70.000 and even 80.000 USD. But there is also a track record under President Trump of rather serene prices within the current values being experienced. Supply remains strong, demand is there yes – but production levels are not about to decrease which likely means unless there is a huge increase in buying from manufacturing that the price of WTI Crude Oil is within an acceptable equilibrium.
Speculative Positions in a Short Trading Week
It is unlikely that news from the media this weekend is going to suddenly shake the confidence of large WTI Crude Oil traders. Meaning that upon the return to trading this Tuesday the WTI Crude Oil Market is likely to be calm.
- Lows from Tuesday until Thursday of last week saw a lot of trading below current levels.
- Perhaps conservative traders will want to wait on technical perceptions of resistance levels being tested while looking for lower values.
- Yes, the same can be said for those who believe that WTI Crude Oil is too low around the 63.000 level. But for the moment it feels unlikely that stronger sentiment in WTI Crude Oil going to create a massive burst higher.
- Meaning that moves higher that develop may be able to be wagered on speculatively with selling positions while looking for reversals lower.
WTI Crude Oil Weekly Outlook:
Speculative price range for WTI Crude Oil is 62.300 to 65.200
The higher price elements of WTI Crude Oil proved rather awkward this past week. The commodity was not able to puncture the 65.000 mark. Prices above the 64.000 had a difficult time sustaining action after last Monday’s and early Tuesday’s speculative buying. WTI Crude Oil is certainly capable of trading higher, but looking for overly ambitious moves upwards seems illogical at this time.
The 65.000 to 66.000 price levels for WTI Crude Oil still look too high. Levels of 63.00 to 62.500 seem to be more realistic. Day traders should remain conservative and remember that early trading this week may see some volatility early as large players return to their desks following the long holiday weekend.
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