While the USD/ZAR trades below the 17.60000 ratio this morning, speculators will certainly cling to the belief the South African Rand continues to correlate with the broad Forex market. USD centric price action the past couple of days has shown a tendency to be weaker again. The USD/ZAR is touching important support levels which need consideration. The USD/ZAR is near 17.66650 as of this moment.
However, before a day trader gets too excited about the selling momentum being demonstrated this morning, they need to also consider the reality that Forex volumes are lower than normal because of the U.S Labor Day celebrations. Perhaps early trading this morning via Asia was robust, but as the day proceeds the absence of U.S financial institutions will certainly be felt.
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Short and Near-Term Wagering Activity in the USD/ZAR
Taking into consideration all of the domestic clouds that hover above South Africa and its financial institutions, the USD/ZAR had done an excellent job of correlating to the broad Forex market. And all appearances seem to indicate this will remain a crucial part of the currency pair’s trading. U.S jobs numbers will be published on Friday of this week and this will provide another large dose of impetus into trading conditions.
The ability of the USD/ZAR to trade lower and touch important support is significant. What day traders should look for is to see if the currency pair can maintain its lower realms tomorrow. If the USD/ZAR remains within the lower realms and is able to sustain values below the 17.60000 level at this time tomorrow, this will be an indication that large financial institutions believe lower depths are possible and attractive. But concerns remain in the broad Forex market which are likely to cause some caution to develop near-term. Beware of sudden volatility today.
U.S Economic Data and USD/ZAR Bets
Day traders pursuing the USD/ZAR short-term should treat market conditions suspiciously. Reversals may be seen and also wider spreads will certainly play a role over the next twelve hours of trading.
- Speculators looking for additional downside in the USD/ZAR should not get overly ambitious.
- If a trader is looking for additional lows, this might be logical, but additional impetus for strong lower moves that can be sustained might not find enough power over the next day.
- The U.S jobs numbers will be on the minds of financial institutions starting tomorrow and big houses will start to position per their outlooks for Friday’s reports.
- While a September rate cut is a near guarantee from the Federal Reserve, what the Fed will do in October remains unclear.
USD/ZAR Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 17.59500
Current Support: 17.56100
High Target: 17.64600
Low Target: 17.54200
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