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Nasdaq Forecast: Gains on Dip-Buying and Seasonal Strength

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The Nasdaq 100 shows renewed bullish momentum as buyers push the index toward a key resistance level.
  • Seasonal strength, including the typical December rally, supports continued upside, while any short-term pullbacks appear likely to attract renewed buying interest.

Nasdaq Forecast 04/12: Gains on Dip-Buying (Chart)

The Nasdaq 100 initially fell during the trading session on Wednesday but has seen buyers come back into the market to pick things up. We are threatening to break above the 25,750 level, and if we can break that area, then it's likely that the Nasdaq 100 will continue to go to the upside, perhaps to the 26,350 level, where we had topped out previously.

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Keep in mind that this is the month of December, and December is typically very bullish for stock markets in America, as the so-called Santa Claus rally still has an effect on the psyche of markets. This is generally the time of year when those who have not had good years or at least not good in comparison to their contemporaries will have to jump into the market and pick up the right stocks and own all of the right names.

Seasonal Bullish Pressure

This ends up putting a little bit of bullish pressure on the entire situation. And as a result, traders will typically jump in and try to take advantage of any momentum, and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. If we do pull back from here, the 25,000 level is an area that I think a lot of people will be watching, as it is a large round psychologically significant figure, and the 50-day EMA is sitting right in that area as well. Ultimately, I am bullish, and I think short-term pullbacks will continue to be buying opportunities going forward. And as a result, it's likely to eventually break to a fresh new high over the next couple of weeks.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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