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Bitcoin Forecast: 50-Day EMA Support Holds as Institutional Buyers Keep BTC Stable

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The Bitcoin market has shown itself to be very noisy during the trading session on Thursday as we continue to bounce around the 50-day EMA.

  • The 50-day EMA of course is an indicator that a lot of people will be watching as per usual, and it is worth noting that in the last couple of days we have actually stabilized.

Despite the fact that the interest rate markets are still flashing signals of risk-off type of behavior, Bitcoin has bucked the trend in general since the war started. While everything else started falling apart, Bitcoin just kind of hung out and consolidated. We have rallied; we have touched the 200-day EMA a couple of times. Now we are trying to determine whether or not we can go higher.

Institutional Inflows and Long-Term Trends

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The resiliency has been something to be watching, and like I said a couple of weeks ago, sometimes it is about what a market won't do. Right now, it doesn't look like Bitcoin wants to fall, at least not significantly. I think longer-term the inflows into the ETFs and Wall Street from institutions, I might add, will eventually push the spot market higher, perhaps testing the 200-day EMA again, maybe even $84,000.

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I think longer-term we do rally because there is so much excitement in this sector, but that doesn't mean that it happens right away. You will have to be patient. Bitcoin jumping 5% in a day probably isn't something you are going to see anytime soon, but a nice gradual uptrend is good because that means the institutions are comfortable buying and holding. So, pay attention to that. Right now, I think we are forming a small basing pattern.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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