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GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Tests 1.34 Support as Dollar Safety Demand Builds

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The British pound fell on Wednesday again as we continue to see a lot of questions asked about the Middle East and where peace efforts may or may not be able to go.

  • All things being equal, this is a market that I think continues to see a lot of trouble due to the fact that the US dollar of course is being a safety currency, and as we continue to see a lot of back and forth when it comes to the Middle East peace process, it does make quite a bit of sense that we see a lot of traders worry about the global supply chain and therefore start looking for safety in the form of the greenback.

GBP/USD Forecast Today 28/05: Pound Tests 1.34 Support (Chart)

The 200-day EMA sits right around the 1.34 level, an area that's been important multiple times, and I think that might be the next support level that people will be focused on. If we break down below there, then it opens up a move down to the 1.33 level, which is a significant area that has shown itself to be supported.

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Market Outlook and Potential Reversals

If we do turn around and take off to the upside, we could go looking at the 1.35 level above. The 1.35 level is an area that's been very noisy in general, and I think we have a market that, quite frankly, anytime it rallies, you have to be a little bit suspicious, but I don't think this is a massive drop just waiting to happen.

Keep in mind, the British pound is backed by higher interest rates than many other currencies, so the British pound is a little more resilient against the dollar than many other contemporaries.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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