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Copper Forecast: Noisy Near the 50-day EMA

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Copper markets have been pretty wild on Tuesday, as we continue to try to determine the next big move.

Copper Forecast 01/07: Noisy Near the 50-day EMA  (chart)

Copper

Copper markets have been very noisy during the trading session on Tuesday as we continue to dance around the crucial 50-day EMA. The 50-day EMA is an area that I think a lot of people will be watching very closely, as the 50-day EMA is so commonly followed.

If we break down from here, I think there's plenty of support not only in the short term but in the longer term, but that doesn't necessarily mean that we need to take off to the upside.

Supply and Demand Dynamics

After all, the copper market has a serious issue when we have such high demand coming out of AI data centers and the electrification of the global economy, but at the same time, we have a limited supply coming out of mines. The $6 level is a significant support level from a longer-term standpoint, and of course, it's a large, round, psychologically significant figure.

Because of this, I think you have a situation where short-term pullbacks are buying opportunities. The $6.50 level above is a target that a lot of people will be aiming for, and I think it's an area where you would find some trouble.

Ultimately, we are bouncing around in a fairly elevated consolidation range, and I do think that we continue to favor the upside overall, but if we can break above the $6700 level, then we could really start to take off.

If we were to break down below the $5.85 level, then we would challenge the 200-day EMA, but quite frankly, at that point, it just offers value that I am more than willing to take advantage of. Ultimately, I do think that the buyers will prevail, but there has been so much noise in the overall global markets, and of course, we are in the middle of summer, that it's difficult to really get going. I prefer to buy short-term dips at this point.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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