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Dax Forecast: Surges as Cool US Jobs Lower Rate Concerns

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The German index is up near 2% after the jobs report in the United States suggested that the Fed could be a bit more supportive than thought.

Dax Forecast 03/07: Cool US Jobs Lower Rate Concerns (Chart)

DAX

The German index is up about 2% for the session on Thursday as the reaction to the jobs numbers in the United States was obviously very bullish. The idea of course being that the Federal Reserve, with less employment added last month than anticipated, will keep interest rates a little bit lower than the market may have been pricing in as at one point they were talking about 2 25 basis points added.

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That being said, the market is likely to continue to look at the risk appetite situation through not only the prism of the interest rate markets but also the situation in the Middle East, as peace seems to be the main theme, but we still could get the occasional hiccup. After all, the market is likely to continue to see concerns about energy for the German industrial sector.

Technical Breakout and Shifting Risk Appetite

All things being equal, it is worrying that we got this high this quickly, but it also looks like we are breaking out to the upside. Short-term pullbacks, I think, continue to find plenty of buyers near the 25,000 Euro area.

The Eurozone inflation undershooting expectations, 2.8% versus the 3.0% consensus, eases the idea of ECB tightening as well. Optimism from the Doha peace talks after Iran signaled it would send a delegation has also added a little bit of a boost as well.

Defense names and Siemens Energy have been the standout sector leaders through the week, but really, at this point, I think you're starting to see plenty of risk appetite expansion, and that means other companies such as Rheinmetall and SAP can get a little bit of a boost as well. Look for value. I think short-term pullbacks should continue to attract plenty of buyers at this point.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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