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Honeywell International (NASDAQ:HON) Stock Signal: Will Struggling Petrochemical Catalysts Business Drive Shares Lower?

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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Short Trade Idea

Enter your short position between $222.64 (yesterday’s intra-day low) and $227.61 (yesterday’s intra-day high).

Market Index Analysis

  • Honeywell International (NASDAQ:HON) is a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, the NASDAQ 100 Index, the S&P 100 Index, and the S&P 500 Index.

  • All four indices are trending lower inside bearish price channels with heightened downside risks.

  • The Bull Bear Power Indicator for the S&P 500 Index is bearish with a descending trendline.

Market Sentiment Analysis

Equity futures point to a bearish open amid conflicting reports over a truce between the US and Israel. Still, equity markets are on track to break a four-week bearish streak, barring a significant sell-off at the end of this week. Iran is drafting a law to introduce tolls for passage of the Strait of Hormuz. US recession risks have spiked amid the impact of high oil prices on consumers. Google’s TurboQuant technology breakthrough claims to limit memory usage, sending memory and disk makers tumbling.

Honeywell International Fundamental Analysis

Honeywell International is a conglomerate with aerospace, building automation, industrial automation, and energy and sustainability solutions (ESS) at its core. Additionally, it operates Sandia National Laboratories and has a global workforce of over 100,000 employees.

So, why am I bearish on HON despite heightened defense demand?

While I remain bullish over the long-term on Honeywell International’s strategy, I see more medium-term downside driven by weakness in the petrochemical catalysts business. The 26% price cut in its acquisition of Johnson Matthey’s Catalyst Technologies unit was a significant red flag amid declining profitability, delayed projects, and lower demand. Current market conditions add to execution risks for its 2026 Aerospace spinoff and planned Quantinuum IPO.

Metric
Value
Verdict
P/E Ratio
32.58
Bearish
P/B Ratio
10.13
Bearish
PEG Ratio
2.01
Bearish
Current Ratio
1.30
Bearish
ROIC-WACC Ratio
Positive
Bullish

Honeywell International Fundamental Analysis Snapshot

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.58 makes HON an expensive stock. By comparison, the P/E ratio for the S&P 500 Index is 26.12.

The average analyst price target for HON is $251.44. This suggests there is moderate upside potential, but downside risks are greater.

Honeywell International Technical Analysis

Today’s HON Signal

HON032626

Honeywell International Price Chart

  • The HON D1 chart shows price action inside a bearish price channel.

  • It also shows price action between its ascending 50.0% and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Fan levels.

  • The Bull Bear Power Indicator is bearish with a descending trendline.

  • The average bearish trading volumes are higher than the average bullish trading volumes.

  • HON corrected with the S&P 500 Index, a bearish confirmation.

My HON Short Stock Trade

  • HON Entry Level: Between $222.64 and $227.61

  • HON Take Profit: Between $186.76 and $193.35

  • HON Stop Loss: Between $237.58 and $245.26

  • Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.40

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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