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Dax Forecast: German Index Drifts Toward €26,000 as Bund Yields Hit 15-Year High

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The German DAX rose to start the day, but has since drifted a bit lower in afternoon trading. The market now focuses on a big figure below.

Dax Forecast 20/08: German Index Drifts Toward €26,000

DAX

The German DAX initially did rally a bit during the trading session on Wednesday but has turned around to show signs of weakness again. The DAX is down slightly as it continues to drift towards the €26,000 level.

That being said, the overnight trading was rather ugly, with the KOSPI in South Korea losing 5.4% and the Nikkei in Japan dropping 3%. The DAX, though, for the most part, has ignored it. There's some negativity, but it has to do more with a handful of major stocks. For example, chips and industrials have stumbled a bit: Infineon is down roughly 7%, with Siemens Energy down about 5%, Airbus is down 2%, and the defensive stocks out there seem to be getting the bid. SAP is up just a bit over 2%, with Bayer up just under 2%. Deutsche Telekom is also doing fairly well, up 1.7%.

Macro Bond Yield Pressures and Sector Divergence

Energy names are supported by elevated crude at the moment, which does make a certain amount of sense, but that also could be a problem for other industries.

Bonds are part of the play here too, with the Bund 10-year at 3.22%, the highest since May of 2011, and the US 30-year is above 5.3%.

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That being said, this is a market that is approaching a significant round figure in the form of €26,000, and traders will be watching this very closely. The recent price action has been somewhat lackluster, but it's a nice, steady uptrend when you look at it from a longer-term standpoint. And therefore, this may just end up being a healthy correction before it's all said and done.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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