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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: 30,000 Support Tested as Rates Rise

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The NASDAQ 100 continues to see a lot of noise, as we are looking at the interest rate situation continues to cause a bit of trouble for risk appetite-based assets.

The NASDAQ 100 has fallen pretty significantly during the early part of the trading session. The 30,000 level is an area that has been both support and resistance.

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Ultimately, this is a market that I believe continues to see a lot of the inflationary problems causing issues here. The inflationary problems, of course, are coming out of the energy sector and the reality that energy is not going to be free-flowing. If that is going to be the case, then that causes the central bank perhaps to tighten because of that inflation, and it opens up the possibility of the bond market really getting out of hand.

The 30,000 level needs to hold as support

Nasdaq 100 chart today

We have seen quite a bit of momentum to the upside when it comes to rates, and that has not changed. Now, the 30,000 level needs to hold as support. If it does not, then the 50-day EMA comes into the picture.

On the other hand, though, I do think this is a market that more than likely will be one that looks for a certain amount of a bounce, offering value, and traders will continue to jump into it. Based on the AI trade, as long as that remains somewhat feasible, then the NASDAQ 100 will continue to attract a certain amount of attention.

Despite the fact that the candlestick is pretty ugly for the day, when you look at the totality of the market, we just tagged the top of the overall range for the second half of the year and pulled back. If you did not know anything about the interest rates right now, this would look like a typical chart, quite frankly.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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